Stony Brook
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
102  Olivia Burne SR 20:03
146  Christina Melian SO 20:14
222  Annie Keown SR 20:25
554  Lorraine McCarthy SR 21:02
899  Elizabeth Caldwell FR 21:26
1,351  Christine Eisenberg FR 21:56
1,486  Kate Pouder JR 22:03
1,542  Tara Peck SO 22:06
1,872  Raven Dorsey SO 22:26
1,956  Robin Lynn SR 22:32
2,022  Molly Persky FR 22:37
2,129  Megan Cooney FR 22:44
2,206  Olivia Ritchie FR 22:48
3,673  Danielle Cornell SO 26:21
National Rank #40 of 340
Northeast Region Rank #8 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 4.2%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.4%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 8.5%
Top 10 in Regional 85.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Olivia Burne Christina Melian Annie Keown Lorraine McCarthy Elizabeth Caldwell Christine Eisenberg Kate Pouder Tara Peck Raven Dorsey Robin Lynn Molly Persky
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/27 757 20:07 20:14 20:06 21:02 21:45 22:12 22:26 22:22 22:27
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 933 20:14 20:23 20:59 21:10 21:55 22:20
CCSU Mini Meet 10/25 1280 22:02 22:31 22:21 22:55
America East Championships 11/02 920 20:01 20:29 20:52 21:38 22:01 21:47 21:55 23:11 22:34
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 990 20:00 20:51 21:25 21:21 21:45 22:27 21:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 4.2% 24.6 584 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 8.4 253 0.0 0.5 2.1 5.9 10.4 14.8 18.0 18.2 15.7 8.0 3.9 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Burne 24.0% 77.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Christina Melian 8.5% 93.6 0.0
Annie Keown 4.8% 122.7
Lorraine McCarthy 4.2% 214.1
Elizabeth Caldwell 4.2% 240.9
Christine Eisenberg 4.2% 250.1
Kate Pouder 4.2% 251.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Burne 17.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.4 4.5 4.7 5.8 5.8 6.5 5.9 5.9 6.3 6.1 5.0 4.9 4.1 3.5 3.1 3.2
Christina Melian 23.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.9 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.6 5.0 4.9 4.0 4.6 4.5
Annie Keown 32.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.2 3.2 3.4
Lorraine McCarthy 72.7 0.0
Elizabeth Caldwell 100.2
Christine Eisenberg 139.9
Kate Pouder 150.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.5% 83.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 3
4 2.1% 61.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 4
5 5.9% 23.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 4.6 1.4 5
6 10.4% 9.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 9.4 0.9 6
7 14.8% 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.6 0.2 7
8 18.0% 0.1% 0.0 18.0 0.0 8
9 18.2% 18.2 9
10 15.7% 15.7 10
11 8.0% 8.0 11
12 3.9% 3.9 12
13 1.6% 1.6 13
14 0.7% 0.7 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 4.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 95.8 0.0 4.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0